Amazon.com, Inc. Dossier
Valuation
How Intrinsic Value compares with model outputs
Valuation methods vs. Market Price
Assumptions
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Years 1–5: analyst growth pathFive-year total matches analyst consensus exactly. Year 1: 20.2% (near-term consensus, capped) · years 2–5: 25.8%/yr (balance of the path). | 24.7% per year |
Years 6–10: glide to demonstrated growth own history 123.5%, capped at 20%Per-year ratesYr 624.6%Yr 723.5%Yr 822.3%Yr 921.2%Yr 1020.0% | 25.8% → 20.0% |
Years 11–20: glide to long-run ratePer-year ratesYr 1118.3%Yr 1216.6%Yr 1314.9%Yr 1413.2%Yr 1511.5%Yr 169.8%Yr 178.1%Yr 186.4%Yr 194.7%Yr 203.0% | 20.0% → 3.0% |
| Beyond year 20: terminal growthPerpetual long-run rate | 3.0% |
| Historical EPS growth (multi-year median)median of 3 windows (5/6/7y) | 123.5% |
| Discount rate (cost of equity) | 10.6% |
| Volatility vs market (adjusted beta) | 1.31 |
Valuation Detail Members
The growth-anchor working behind the long-term growth rate.
Growth Anchor: working
| Base FY | EPS | CAGR |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0.10 | +133.0% |
| 2019 | $0.06 | +123.5% |
| 2018 | $0.05 | +103.1% |
Anchor = median of the window CAGRs: 123.5%.
Assumptions Sandbox Members
Edit the inputs to see how the intrinsic value moves under your own assumptions
The discount rate must exceed terminal growth by at least 1%. Adjust the inputs to recompute the cash-flow methods.
Multiples methods (P/E, P/S, P/B) are growth-blind by design, so those bars stay put when you change growth.
Growth & discount
Per-share inputs
Target multiples
Per-method: our value vs. yours
Cash-flow methods (DCF, DNI, PEG) recompute from our published growth schedule; the anchors show our own 5-year median, the peer median, and the current multiple. Your scenario is saved to your account only.
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Best value in each row is highlighted. Figures are periodic snapshots from the same filings used across each dossier; a dash means the figure is not available.