Rio Tinto plc ADRRIO
Price$90.21

Outlook & Key Dates

Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events

Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
6.7%projected annual EPS growth
As of 27 Aug 2026
Analyst Coverage
8analysts covering
Analyst consensus, 8 analysts: PositiveAs of 18 Aug 2026
FY EPS (est.)
$8.72next fiscal year
As of 18 Aug 2026
Reporting Calendar
EventExpected Date
2026 Full Year Results Announcement18 Feb 2027
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
All-Injury Frequency Rate (AIFR) per 200,000 hours worked Annually37.0%
Oyu Tolgoi Recoverable Copper Production Target (tonnes per annum) Annually
Productivity Program Annualised Run Rate (USD) Quarterly1.3BTarget: 1,800,000,000 by end of 2026
Simandou Iron Ore Production Capacity Target (Mtpa) Annually
Watch Items
  • China Iron Ore Demand and Real Estate Sector HealthTrigger: Significant drop in Chinese steel production or further defaults in the property sectorAction: Reassess iron ore price assumptions, capital expenditure budgets, and dividend payout ratios.
  • Simandou Project Construction ProgressTrigger: Delays in rail or port infrastructure commissioning beyond 2026Action: Adjust volume guidance and update capital allocation models for the SimFer joint venture.
  • Lithium Portfolio Ramp-up (Rincon, Sal de Vida, F nix 1B)Trigger: Failure to progress toward the 200 ktpa LCE capacity target by 2028Action: Review execution strategy and evaluate alternative battery material investments.
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Research as of 2 Sep 2026

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.